MONDELEZ's share price rose 2.5% before the market, and it was authorized to buy back $9 billion in the news.MONDELEZ's share price rose 2.5% before the market, and it was authorized to buy back $9 billion in the news.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.
The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.The Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not high, but it is also open to raising interest rates this month. According to informed sources, Bank of Japan officials believe that there is almost no cost to wait before raising interest rates, and they are still open to raising interest rates next week, depending on data and market development. According to people familiar with the matter, even if the Bank of Japan decides to wait until January next year or a little longer before raising interest rates, the relevant authorities believe that this will not bring huge costs, because there are signs that there is little risk of inflation overshoot. According to people familiar with the matter, officials think it is only a matter of time before the next rate hike, because the economy and inflation are in line with their forecasts. According to people familiar with the matter, officials will make a final decision only after carefully evaluating the data and financial markets before announcing the policy decision in December. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and his committee will discuss next week whether it is necessary to raise the benchmark interest rate from 0.25%. Unlike the situation in July, the yen did not show a strong weakness, so the Bank of Japan believes that the risk of the yen pushing up inflation has weakened.Pakistan KSE-100 index rose 0.5% to 109,693.20.
Brent crude oil exceeded $73/barrel, up 1.57% in the day.3 Lianban Huifa Food: Zhenghechang Investment reduced its shareholding by 1 million shares today, and the reduction plan has not yet been completed. On November 8, 2024, the company disclosed the Announcement on Shareholder Reduction Plan of Huifa Food, and the shareholder Zhenghechang Investment Co., Ltd. plans to reduce its shareholding by centralized bidding, not exceeding 2,446,400 shares, not exceeding 1% of the company's total share capital; The reduction of holdings through block trading shall not exceed 4,892,800 shares, and shall not exceed 2% of the company's total share capital. The planned reduction period is from November 29, 2024 to February 27, 2025. On December 11th, 2024, Zhenghechang Investment Co., Ltd. reduced its shareholding by 1 million shares through centralized bidding. At present, the shareholder's shareholding reduction plan has not been completed.CPOPC: The price of palm oil is expected to fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 in 2025. It is reported that the Council of Palm Oil Producers (CPOPC) predicts that the price of palm oil may fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 per ton in 2025, driven by the stagnant production in major markets, especially Indonesia and Malaysia. Deputy Secretary-General CPOPC pointed out that the current price level around RM5,000 per ton may be temporary, mainly affected by the continuous floods in Malaysia, which boosted the bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the aging plantations, unpredictable weather and limited expansion to new plantations, it is expected that the cessation of production will tighten global supply and further push up prices.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide